The biggest surprise for me at last night’s Screen Actors Guild Awards was Eddie Redmayne winning Best Actor, beating presumed favourite Michael Keaton.

Does this now make Redmayne the favourite to walk off with the same award at the Oscars? I think it might. He’s already won the Golden Globe and I can’t see Keaton beating him at the BAFTA’s (there’s no way the British Academy won’t honour a Brit for playing a Brit). Which means going into February 22 Redmayne now has the big ‘mo’ (aka momentum).

The reason I’m surprised is that I thought Oscar voters, and awards voters in general, wouldn’t!t be able to resist Keaton’s comeback story, mirrored so beautifully in his film (even if he says he doesn’t see it). The Academy loves to honour their own and Keaton has a CV that includes many iconic roles – the Academy also loves honouring a career as much as one role.

Redmayne, on the other hand, may well have another shot at Oscar next year with his film The Danish Girl. In it, he plays the first transgender woman to have a sex change.

There’s just over a month until Oscar night so we’ll see what happens but it does seem to me that the Brit might want to clear some more space on his mantelpiece.